Articles by Estefano Gomez
Egyptβs economic outlook has been slightly trimmed amid ongoing disruptions from the Iran war, with Polymarket contracts on crude oil hitting $90 by end of June drawing increased trading interest.
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The Ethereum Foundation is unstaking $48.9 million worth of ETH, raising questions about potential selling pressure. The Ethereum Price in 2026 market sits at 4%
YES, unchanged from a week ago, sugοΏ½...
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchiβs diplomatic tour to Pakistan, Oman, and Russia signals Tehranβs preference for regional alliances over direct engagement with Washington. The likelihood of...
Iranβs Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi is heading back to Pakistan before a diplomatic stop in Moscow. The market for whether no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting occurs by June 30, 2026, ...
Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar suggests the nuclear option is now a real consideration as conventional tactics fail to sway Iran. The odds of no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting by June 30 sit at 13.5οΏ½...
Iranβs President Masoud Pezeshkian told Pakistanβs PM Shehbaz Sharif that Tehran will not negotiate with the US under pressure. The market for Iran agreeing to surrender its enriched uranium stock...
Trumpβs cancellation of his envoysβ trip to Iran and Tehranβs refusal to negotiate under threat have frozen diplomatic progress. The market for a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30 has col...
Tehran-Washington talks have stalled, casting doubt on Iran ending uranium enrichment by April 30. The odds for this market have dropped to 1.8%
YES, down from 50% a week ago.
Market reaction
TheοΏ½...
US crude exports have reached a record 5.2 million barrels per day during the ongoing Iran conflict. The US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 market sits at 2.6%
YES, down from 7% yesterday, while the οΏ½...
Lebanonβs PM Nawaf Salam criticized security forces for focusing on minor issues instead of Hezbollah disarmament. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026 market sits at 100%
YES, unchange...
