Articles by Estefano Gomez
Iranβs Foreign Ministry is reviewing a US plan conveyed during the Pakistani Army Chiefβs visit, and the market for no US-Iran meeting by June 30 sits at 1.5%
YES, up from 2% yesterday.
Market ...
Aaveβs rsETH exploit caused a $7B drop in total value locked and a 15% decline in the AAVE token. Bitcoinβs likelihood of dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 3.1%
YES, unchanged after the news b...
Iranβs Foreign Ministry said there is no plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The market on Trump announcing the US blockade lift by May 31 is now at 78%
, down from 90% twenty-four hours ago.
Mar...
The Strait of Hormuz crisis has driven an 8% surge in crude oil prices, pushing the likelihood of crude hitting $90 by the end of June to ?
YES.
Market reaction
Crude oil markets are responding tοΏ½...
Pakistan has ramped up diplomatic efforts with Washington and Tehran to push US-Iran talks forward. βWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?β is at 3.7%
YES, up fro...
President Trump is trying to navigate a rocky ceasefire deal with Iran while the Strait of Hormuz re-closes. The US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22 sits at 17%
YES, down from 40% justοΏ½...
Solanaβs decentralized exchanges processed a record $1.26 billion in tokenized asset volume in the first quarter of 2026, and the market for Solana reaching $150 by April 1319 currently trades at 22...
BlackRockβs Bitcoin ETF attracted $906 million in inflows last week, while the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April sits at 36.5%
YES.
The $80,000 price target dropped from 6...
Senior Iranian sources say nuclear program disagreements remain unresolved with no narrowing of gaps, and the odds of Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 have dropped to 31.4%
, downοΏ½...
A whale has opened a $90.9 million 20x long position on Ethereum. The Ethereum above $1,800 on April 16 market sits at 100%
YES, and Ethereum above $1,700 on April 17 is at 100%
YES.
Market reacοΏ½...
