Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 31.5% for a YES outcome by May 31, up from 27% a day ago but down from 57% a week ago. The Strait of Hormuz Tra...
## Market Snapshot
The market for the Strait of Hormuz ship transit is currently priced at 73% YES, up from 55% 24 hours ago. This reflects an increase in the likelihood of 20 ships transiting the s�...
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market shows a 100% YES pricing for oil hitting $90 by the end of June. The market appears to be responding to recent API reports of significant�...
## Market Snapshot
The “Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” market is currently priced at 73% for a YES outcome. This is an increase from 55% in the previous 24 hour...
## Market Snapshot
WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market currently shows an increase in YES pricing, indicative of potential upward pressure on oil prices. Iranian Demands Trump Will Agree To mark�...
## Market Snapshot The “US Declaration of War on Iran” market is currently priced at 8.5% for a YES outcome, up from 8% 24 hours ago. The “US Military Action in 2026” market is affected by the...
## Market Snapshot
The Bitcoin price market for May 7 is currently priced at 99.8% YES, slightly down from 100% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the WTI Crude Oil market for May 2026 is currently gathering �...
## Market Snapshot
Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 25.5% YES, reflecting a decrease from 34% just 24 hours ago. The Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization market�...
## Market Snapshot
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization: Market currently reflects reduced odds for normalization by the end of June. Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement: Odds have decreased to ...
## Market Snapshot
WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently active with a focus on potential price increases amidst geopolitical tensions. Sub-markets are considering whether WTI could r�...
