Articles by Estefano Gomez
The US dollar’s share of international payments via SWIFT rose 1.9 points to 51.1% in March, coinciding with escalating US-Iran tensions. The Bank of Japan’s April decision market prices a rate cu...
Oil investors are exiting positions at the fastest pace in 17 years, with April seeing $900 million in outflows. The WTI Crude Oil $160 in April market reflects bearish sentiment ahead of its April 3�...
Iranian officials have been evacuated from Pakistan under military escort, according to two Pakistani government sources. The “Iran coup attempt by June 30” market currently sits at 12.5%
YES.
...
John Bolton’s public skepticism about US-Iran peace talks has pushed the odds of a permanent peace deal by April 30 down to 5.5%
YES, a drop from 10% just 24 hours ago.
The diplomatic meetings wi...
The Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh’s nomination to lead the Federal Reserve after U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro closed a criminal investigation into current Fed Chair Jerome Powell. War...
The EU announced its 20th sanctions package against Russia, targeting energy and financial sectors. The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026 market now trades at 5.2%
YES, up from 4% yesterday.�...
Iran’s delegation has left Islamabad after all-day talks, presenting a list of demands to Pakistani mediators. The odds for a US-Iran ceasefire extension sit at 45%
YES, up from 30% a week ago.
T...
U.S. oil exports are increasing during the ongoing U.S.-Israel war with Iran, shifting global supply patterns. The market for WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April sits at 0% YES, reflecting expected p�...
Sirens sounded in Israel’s Western Galilee after a drone infiltration was detected, the latest in ongoing hostilities with Hezbollah. The market for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30 sits at ...
Ethereum’s SuperTrend indicator has signaled buy for the first time since May last year, while Ethereum price predictions for April 20-26 sit at 0% YES.
The SuperTrend flip suggests the end of a lo...
