Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Iranian officials evacuated from Pakistan under military escort

Crypto April 26, 2026

Iranian officials have been evacuated from Pakistan under military escort, according to two Pakistani government sources. The β€œIran coup attempt by June 30” market currently sits at 12.5% YES. ...

Bolton skepticism dims US-Iran peace deal prospects by April 30

Crypto April 26, 2026

John Bolton’s public skepticism about US-Iran peace talks has pushed the odds of a permanent peace deal by April 30 down to 5.5% YES, a drop from 10% just 24 hours ago. The diplomatic meetings wi...

Kevin Warsh’s Fed chair nomination advances as Powell investigation ends

Crypto April 26, 2026

The Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh’s nomination to lead the Federal Reserve after U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro closed a criminal investigation into current Fed Chair Jerome Powell. War...

EU targets Russia’s energy, finance in 20th sanctions package

Crypto April 26, 2026

The EU announced its 20th sanctions package against Russia, targeting energy and financial sectors. The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026 market now trades at 5.2% YES, up from 4% yesterday.οΏ½...

Iran presents demands after Islamabad talks, eyes US ceasefire extension

Crypto April 26, 2026

Iran’s delegation has left Islamabad after all-day talks, presenting a list of demands to Pakistani mediators. The odds for a US-Iran ceasefire extension sit at 45% YES, up from 30% a week ago. T...

US oil exports rise amid Israel-Iran conflict, shifting global supply patterns

Crypto April 26, 2026

U.S. oil exports are increasing during the ongoing U.S.-Israel war with Iran, shifting global supply patterns. The market for WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April sits at 0% YES, reflecting expected pοΏ½...

Drone infiltration in Israel’s Galilee amid Hezbollah tensions

Crypto April 26, 2026

Sirens sounded in Israel’s Western Galilee after a drone infiltration was detected, the latest in ongoing hostilities with Hezbollah. The market for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30 sits at ...

Ethereum SuperTrend flips buy, but $3,000 target remains unlikely by April 26

Crypto April 26, 2026

Ethereum’s SuperTrend indicator has signaled buy for the first time since May last year, while Ethereum price predictions for April 20-26 sit at 0% YES. The SuperTrend flip suggests the end of a lo...

Iran-Pakistan talks end without progress, US-Iran meeting unlikely by April 26

Crypto April 26, 2026

Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi’s talks with Pakistani officials ended without progress. The probability of a US-Iran meeting by April 26 dropped to 10% YES. Market reaction Odds for a diplom...

OpenAI releases GPT-5.5 Pro on Venice, confirming April 30 launch date

Crypto April 25, 2026

OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro is now available on Venice, pushing β€œGPT-5.5 released by April 30” to 100% YES. The April 23 market also hit 100% YES, up from 93% just a day ago. Odds had climbed stea...