Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
Israelβs withdrawal from Lebanon market shows a 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, unchanged from 24 hours ago. The June 30, 2026, sub-market is priced at 9% YES, down from 10% a day e...
## Market Snapshot
Iranβs foreign ministry statement has impacted the US-Iran ceasefire market, now at 0.5% YES, down from 1% a day ago. The likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 ha...
## Market Snapshot Largest Company by Market Cap Predictions: Odds for NVIDIA being the largest by June 30 are priced at 67.5% YES. Recent activity shows May 31 odds at 78.3% YES, down from previous οΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The market for Donald Trump winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 is currently priced with notable interest, with recent developments potentially increasing the perceived likelihoοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
In the βLargest Company by Market Cap Predictionsβ market, NVIDIA is currently priced at 67.5% YES for being the largest company by June 30. Meanwhile, the βLargest Company b...
## Market Snapshot
The Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 market is currently showing uncertainty, with the likelihood of no rate cuts happening this year still undetermined. Meanwhile, the Fed rateοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The βIran Military Actionβ market is priced at 100% YES for military action by Iran against Israel by April 30, 2026, with no change over the past 24 hours. The βMilitary Act...
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic market is priced at 0% YES for a return to normal levels by the end of April. Recent reports suggest ongoing severe restrictions.
## Key Takeaways β The ...
## Market Snapshot
Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government market currently shows 100% YES across all sub-markets for April, May, and June 2026. This marks a significant increase from previous lοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
US GDP Growth Q1 2026 market is currently priced at 100% YES for GDP growth being less than 1.0%. This has significantly increased from 26% just 24 hours ago. Recent activity showοΏ½...
