Articles by Estefano Gomez
Tesla confirmed its acquisition of an AI hardware company for up to $2 billion in stock. The market on NVIDIA being the largest company by market cap on April 30 sits at 99.4%
YES.
## Market reactοΏ½...
Iranβs declaration that the US blockade is an βact of warβ has moved prediction markets. The odds of Trump announcing the lifting of the Strait of Hormuz blockade by May 31 have dropped to 73.5%...
Bitcoin exchange reserves have dropped to 2.679 million BTC, the lowest since December 2017. The odds of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April sit at 33.5%
, down from 44% yesterday.
Market reaction
TοΏ½...
Bitcoin slipped under $75,500 as U.S.Iran tensions escalated, pushing the odds of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April down to 33.5%
YES from 44% yesterday.
Market reaction
The market for Bitcoin reοΏ½...
Time magazine published an analysis of Iranβs shift toward a military-security decision-making structure. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 are at 8%
YES, up from 6% yesterday.
Th...
Military planners from over 30 countries are meeting in London to discuss reopening the Strait of Hormuz, according to the UK Ministry of Defense. The ceasefire by April 30 market sits at 18.5%
YESοΏ½...
Strategy acquired 7,800 BTC worth $1.1 billion, and the market for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April now sits at 42.5%
YES, down from 44% yesterday.
Market reaction
The $80,000 market saw a 5-poiοΏ½...
Kevin Warshβs Senate testimony has moved US 10-year Treasury yields, and the Polymarket odds of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut after the April meeting now sit at 0.2%
YES, up from 0% yesterday.
Wa...
US Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were seen at the White House, signaling high-level coordination for imminent US-Iran ceasefire talks. βWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran ...
The likelihood of a Fed rate hike in 2027 is now 69%, as markets price in continued tightening driven by persistent inflation from geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 202οΏ½...
