Articles by Estefano Gomez
Pakistanβs Foreign Ministry reaffirmed Lebanonβs inclusion in the US-Iran ceasefire, despite ongoing military operations. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30 market sits at 64.8%
YES.
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Sen. Fettermanβs comments on intensifying US military action against Iran are moving prediction markets. The Iran leadership change contract (by end of 2026) sits at 21.5%
YES, a 15% increase in l...
Iranβs military rhetoric has escalated with press statements hinting at readiness to sink US warships. Odds for no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 sit at 2.3%
YES, while the European Central...
Oil prices surged to $210 in Singapore as the US-Israeli war with Iran disrupts global supply chains. The Polymarket contract for WTI crude oil hitting $160 in April sits at 25%
YES, with 14 days uοΏ½...
The U.S. Treasury imposed new sanctions on Iranβs oil sector, hitting over two dozen entities. This coincides with the expiration of a 30-day waiver for 140 million barrels of Iranian oil, which won...
Former CIA officer Larry Johnson claims the Pentagon is giving President Trump overly optimistic reports about the US-Iran conflict. The market on Trump announcing a ceasefire breach by April 21 has οΏ½...
The US has imposed sanctions on an Iranian oil shipping network tied to Mohammad Hossein Shamkhani, son of the late Ali Shamkhani, as part of the Trump administrationβs βmaximum pressureβ campai...
The U.S. Treasury is freezing Iranian regime bank accounts in response to Iranβs military strikes on Gulf neighbors. Trumpβs potential agreement to Iranian oil sanction relief in April sits at 36....
The White House denied requesting an extension of the ceasefire with Iran, stating that productive talks are ongoing in Pakistan. The US x Iran ceasefire extension market now trades at 71.0%
YES, uοΏ½...
The U.S.-Iran negotiations are gaining traction, and Bitcoin prediction markets reflect the optimism. The market for Bitcoin surpassing $62,000 by April 18 sits at 99.2%
YES.
Market reaction
The οΏ½...
