Articles by Estefano Gomez
Iranβs foreign minister told Putin that U.S. tactics are blocking diplomatic progress. The Polymarket contract for no US-Iran meeting by June 30 trades at 16.7%
YES, up from 9% yesterday.
Market ...
Yadollah Javani of the IRGC asserts the US canβt reopen the Strait of Hormuz through military force. Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by May 15 sits at 17.5%
YES, down from 20% yesterd...
Germanyβs Friedrich Merz accused Iran of humiliating the US as diplomatic talks stall. The Polymarket contract for no US-Iran meeting by June 30 is at 16.7%
YES, up from 9% yesterday.
The market ...
More than half of the Middle Eastβs urea output is potentially lost amid the Iran conflict, raising concerns about global food inflation. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 sits at 0.9%
YES, down...
Iran has reportedly offered a proposal to the U.S. to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, contingent on ending hostilities and securing guarantees against future conflicts, per WSJ. Diplomatic meetings withοΏ½...
EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen took a firm stance on Iran sanctions, signaling continued pressure. The market for Iran surrendering its enriched uranium stockpile by April 30 is at 1%
οΏ½...
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Moscow this week, and the market on no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, jumped to 17%
YES, up from 9% yesterday.
The nuclear οΏ½...
BitMine Immersion Technologies has increased its Ethereum holdings to 5.078 million ETH, roughly 4.2% of total supply. The Polymarket contract for Ethereum above $1,900 on April 25 trades at 99.9%
οΏ½...
Iranβs official Mortazavi confirmed the Caspian Seaβs integration into supply chains for essential goods, citing ongoing concerns with the Strait of Hormuz. The probability of 80 ships transiting ...
Tom Lee and Bitmine Immersion Technologies have accumulated more than 5 million Ethereum (ETH), reaching their βAlchemy of 5%β target. Ethereum above $1,900 on April 24 is at 99.9%
YES.
Market ...
