Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
In the βRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026β market, the probability of a ceasefire is currently priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago and down from 1% a wee...
## Market Snapshot
The market for a potential next U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting currently reflects an increase in likelihood, given the recent proposal submission by Iran via Pakistan. Sub-markets fοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Fed rate cuts for 2026 are currently unresolved with significant uncertainty. For the June and July meetings, interest rate decrease probabilities are 2.9% and 88.5% YES, respectiοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market is currently at 100.0% YES for prices hitting $90 by the end of June. This reflects the impact of ongoing supply disruptions due to the οΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Bitcoin Price Targets market shows odds of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April at 0.1% YES. Fed Decision June and July market shows a 2.9% YES probability of a 25 bps rate cut post-οΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market shows pricing supportive of NO, with recent developments suggesting decreased likelihood of a meeting. The Reza Pahlavi market remains uncοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The βUS-Iran Ceasefireβ market currently shows a 0.1% likelihood for a YES outcome, unchanged from the previous day. Meanwhile, the βIran Military Actionβ market remains at...
## Market Snapshot
WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently showing a lower probability for a YES outcome, with recent reports suggesting a de-escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions. The StraiοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
In the Bitcoin price targets market, the $80,000 level is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 3% 24 hours ago. The ECB interest rates market for an April 2026 meeting decreaseοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The βRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?β market shows a 9% YES probability, up from 6% 24 hours ago. The April 30 market remains at 0.1% YES. This reflects a recent es...
