Articles by Estefano Gomez
Joe Kent, who recently resigned as Director of the US National Counterterrorism Center amid an FBI investigation, claims all 18 US intelligence agencies assessed that Iran is not pursuing a nuclear wοΏ½...
An advisor to Iranβs Supreme Leader claimed that Iranian launchers are prepared to sink all US warships, pushing down the odds that Trump will announce an end to military operations against Iran by ...
ETF clients purchased $17.11 million worth of XRP on April 16, 2026, as a broader crypto market recovery tied to easing U.S.-Iran tensions pushed the XRP price prediction for April 19 to 0.2%
YES.
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Lebanon denies any planned contact with Israel, contradicting President Trumpβs statement. The odds of an Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30 sit at 100%
YES, suggesting traders read the...
Iran has increased its destructive drone production by ten times following the 12-day war with the Israel-U.S. coalition. The likelihood of Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by June 30 is at 5.5%
YES, dowοΏ½...
CENTCOMβs legal definitions have left a loophole in the U.S. blockade on Iranian ports, allowing non-oil cargo ships to transit the Strait of Hormuz unimpeded. Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to ...
President Trump publicly rebuked Italyβs Giorgia Meloni for refusing to support US military actions in Iran and Lebanon, and the Polymarket contract on US withdrawal from NATO by April 30 sits at 1....
Anthropic, Google, and GitHubβs AI coding agents were compromised through prompt injection attacks. The βtop AI model by June 2026β market for Google holds at 16.5%
YES, down from 18% yesterda...
Deutsche Bank raised its forecast for Chinaβs 2026 GDP growth to 4.9%, while TSMC warned that higher gas prices from Middle East tensions could hit profits. The ECB interest rate market for a 50+ bp...
Iran faces major reconstruction costs after the Twelve-Day War, pushing leaders toward negotiations on sanctions relief. The market for Trump agreeing to oil sanction relief in April sits at 36.5%
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