Articles by Estefano Gomez
Iranβs Vice President Esmail Saghab Esfahani warned of retaliation against countries supporting attacks on Iranβs infrastructure. The Crude Oil Predictions for June market is now in focus as the t...
Trumpβs push for US control of Iranβs nuclear material has collapsed market odds. The US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 sits at 2.7%
YES, down from 7% just 24 hours ago and from 68% a week ago.
...
Senator Thom Tillis has reversed his opposition and now supports Kevin Warshβs confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair. The May 15 confirmation market has surged to 95%
YES, up from 29% just 24 hour...
The ongoing war involving Iran has put billions in Gulf-backed deals in jeopardy. Crude oil reaching an all-time high by April 30 trades at 1.2%
YES, down from 2% a day ago.
Market reaction
IraniοΏ½...
Morgan Stanleyβs Bitcoin ETF, $MSBT, has reached $184 million in total inflows without a single day of outflows, a streak that coincides with geopolitical relief following a U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Bit...
A fuel crisis has gripped Tuvalu due to blockades in the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil trade. The odds for US crude oil reserves falling to 325M by May 1 sit at 2%
YES.
Market reaction
οΏ½...
Bitcoin reached $78,000 as US-Iran tensions pushed traders into crypto, though the probability of a dip to $60,000 in April remains low given current conditions.
Market reaction
The April 30 marketοΏ½...
Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilarβs prediction of imminent US decapitation strikes on Iran complicates ceasefire prospects, with Trumpβs end of military operations against Iran by March 31 sitting at 0%
...
DeepSeek has delayed its V4 model release to integrate with Chinaβs domestic chip ecosystem, and the market for βWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?β sits at 15%
YES....
Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar warns of rising nuclear strike risks as U.S.-Iran talks collapse. The odds for a nuclear deal by April 30 have dropped to 2.6%
YES, down from 7% yesterday.
With talks deadοΏ½...
