Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
The market for the βFall of the Iranian Regimeβ is currently pricing a 2.6% probability for a YES outcome by May 31, down from 3% yesterday. Meanwhile, the βReza Pahlavi Entr...
## Market Snapshot
The market assessing whether Donald Trump will announce the lifting of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, has seen a significant drop in confidence, with YESοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The market for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 5.9% YES, slightly down from 6% 24 hours ago. The strike on Russiaβs oil export infrastructure c...
## Market Snapshot
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours ago. The next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market remains inactive, with no recent pricing daοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The βTotal Crypto Hack Value in 2026β market is currently evaluating the likelihood of exceeding a $1.2 billion threshold by the end of the year. Market implications suggest in...
## Market Snapshot
The market for βIran closes its airspace by May 8β is currently priced at 20.5% YES, down from 24% in the past 24 hours. The βIran closes its airspace by May 31β market sta...
## Market Snapshot
Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 2026 are currently showing potential for an increase, with market pricing supportive of Bitcoin reaching $115,000. The market for Bitcoin Price oοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Iranβs leadership status market reflects a 33.5% YES pricing for a change by December 31, down from 36% yesterday. The market assessing the fall of the Iranian regime by May 31 i...
## Market Snapshot
The market for whether the ECB will announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting currently stands at 100% YES across all active sub-markets. This pricing appears to contrοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Market: WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 Current Pricing: ? YES for $150 threshold Trend: Currently observing no significant movement in volume
## Key Takeaways
β Chinaβs dir...
