Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
In the βWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 2?β market, the current pricing reflects a 0.1% YES. This unchanged pricing highlights skepticism about Bitcoin reaching the target, c...
## Market Snapshot
In the βIran closes its airspace by May 8β market, the current pricing is at 14.5%
for a YES outcome, down from 24% a day ago. For the May 31 sub-market, YES is priced at 39....
## Market Snapshot
The Polymarket question on whether Donald Trump will announce the lifting of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 27.5% YES. This reflecοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The market on Iranβs leadership status by the end of 2026 currently remains uncertain, with multiple sub-markets active. The market assessing whether Iran will close its airspace...
## Market Snapshot
The βIran closes its airspace by May 8β market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, down from 24% in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the βIran closes its airspace by May 31β mar...
## Market Snapshot
Iran Airspace Closure market shows a current price of 16.5% YES for May 8, down from 24% a day ago, and 39% YES for May 31, up from 38%. The WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 markeοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot The market for βWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?β is currently assessing a decreased likelihood, with the recent news suggesting a shift in military focus. The βUS Decla...
## Market Snapshot
In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire markets, a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, is considered unlikely, with activity reflecting a low probability. The June 30, 2026, ceasefire market shoοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
In the market for Iran closing its airspace by May 8, the current pricing is 14.5% YES, down from 24% in the last 24 hours. The probability of Iranβs regime falling by June 30 is...
## Market Snapshot
Meta Platforms stock price predictions market currently shows a 100% YES outcome for Meta reaching $740 in the week of April 27, 2026. There is no observable change in sub-market οΏ½...
