Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Bitcoin surges to $80,000 amid US-Iran tensions, first time since January

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s price surged to $80,000, reaching levels not seen since January 31, 2026. The market for Bitcoin to be above $66,000 on May 6 is currently priced at 99.7% YES. ## Key ...

Ethereum faces selling pressure as 72,000% surge in unstaking emerges

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for Ethereum price predictions in May currently prices the likelihood of reaching $5,000 at 0% YES. For the price on May 3, the market remains at 99.9% YES for EthereumοΏ½...

US guides ships from Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions, impacting Trump China visit

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China markets show a 0.2% YES probability for May 3, with no observed change over the past 24 hours. The combined 24h volume for these sub-markets is $7,187, wit...

OPEC+ raises June output amid Strait of Hormuz closure, oil prices stay high

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market indicates a 100% YES pricing for crude oil hitting $90 by the end of June. WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 markets suggest support for οΏ½...

NATO starts β€œAmber Shock 26” drills in Poland amid Russia tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for β€œWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?” is priced at 2.3% YES, down from 3% 24 hours ago. The β€œNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?...

Tanker attack near Fujairah heightens Strait of Hormuz tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization is currently priced at a 58% likelihood of normalization by the end of June. Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market shows a 37.5% prob...

Treasury warns AI could escalate cyber threats to US financial systems

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot β€œTotal Crypto Hack Value in 2026” market is currently unpriced, with no recent activity. The news is likely to influence perceptions of cyber risk, but no immediate pricing mov...

Trump announces naval mission in Hormuz; Iran warns of ceasefire violation

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The β€œUS Invasion of Iran” market is seeing increased interest, with current pricing suggesting heightened likelihood of a YES outcome. The β€œTrump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcem...

Israel’s AI unit boosts air force in Iran conflict, raises regional tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market on whether Iran will close its airspace by May 8 is currently priced at 17% YES, down from 18% 24 hours ago. For May 31, the probability stands at 37.5% YES, down from οΏ½...

Nvidia’s AI market share in China drops amid US export controls

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market assessing whether Nvidia will be the largest company by market cap on June 30 is currently priced at 70% YES. This represents a decrease from previous levels, suggestinοΏ½...