Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Iran internet blackout hits 65 days amid US and Israeli military tensions

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the market for Iran closing its airspace by May 8, the current pricing is 14.5% YES, down from 24% in the last 24 hours. The probability of Iran’s regime falling by June 30 is...

China blocks Meta’s $2B Manus AI deal amid US-China tech tensions

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Meta Platforms stock price predictions market currently shows a 100% YES outcome for Meta reaching $740 in the week of April 27, 2026. There is no observable change in sub-market οΏ½...

Iran executes political prisoner amid international scrutiny on human rights

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for β€œIran leadership change by December 31” currently prices a 33.5% YES probability, down from 36% a day prior. The β€œfall of the Iranian regime by May 31” sits ...

China defies US sanctions, complicates Trump visit and Iran deal talks

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the β€œTrump Visit to China” market, YES pricing is at 94% for May 31 and 97% for June 30. The β€œUS-Iran Nuclear Deal” market currently shows a 14.5% YES probability for a ...

Iran conflict escalates, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil supply

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Iran’s enriched uranium surrender market shows a decrease in YES pricing, with the December 31, 2026, odds at 32.5% (down from 34% 24 hours ago). Meanwhile, the WTI Crude Oil mar...

Iran rejects US proposal, reduces odds of near-term diplomatic meeting

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting: The market is currently observing decreased odds for an imminent meeting, with recent developments suggesting a hardline stance from Iran. The YEοΏ½...

Bitcoin faces selloff as Powell exits, Warsh steps in May 2026

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s market prospects for May 2026 show current skepticism about reaching $115,000, priced at 0.1% YES for May 2. The potential for the price to exceed $66,000 by May 4 rema...

Tesla faces market pressure from US-China trade tensions, Nvidia favored

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Largest Company by Market Cap Predictions: The market currently prices a 68.5% chance that NVIDIA will be the largest company by market cap on June 30. This reflects no change fromοΏ½...

Whales accumulate 140,000 Ethereum worth $322M, boosting market confidence

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The Ethereum price market for May 2 is priced at 99.9% YES for being above $1,900, consistent with the whale accumulation news. This reflects a stable view over the past 24 hours,οΏ½...

Israeli strike on Iran petrochemical site raises military pressure

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for the β€œFall of the Iranian Regime” is currently pricing a 2.6% probability for a YES outcome by May 31, down from 3% yesterday. Meanwhile, the β€œReza Pahlavi Entr...