Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
Iranβs leadership status market reflects a 33.5% YES pricing for a change by December 31, down from 36% yesterday. The market assessing the fall of the Iranian regime by May 31 i...
## Market Snapshot
The market for whether the ECB will announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting currently stands at 100% YES across all active sub-markets. This pricing appears to contrοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Market: WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 Current Pricing: ? YES for $150 threshold Trend: Currently observing no significant movement in volume
## Key Takeaways
β Chinaβs dir...
## Market Snapshot
Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure market is currently priced at 10.5% YES, down from 14% 24 hours ago. This reflects a declining expectation of closure within the next 29 days.
## KeyοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The market for βTrump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction reliefβ is currently unclear, with active sub-markets showing uncertainty. The βIran surrendering enriched uranium by D...
## Market Snapshot The market for Iranβs enriched uranium surrender by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 32% YES, down from 34% a day ago. The June 30, 2026, market shows a 12% YES probabili...
## Market Snapshot
The βRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026β market is currently pricing a decrease in the likelihood of a YES outcome due to ongoing hostilities. The βRussia capture K...
## Market Snapshot
WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced to reflect increased geopolitical tensions, with the market suggesting potential price increases. The Strait of Hormuz TraffiοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Meta Platforms Stock Price Predictions market is currently showing a 0.1% YES probability, a decrease from 2% 24 hours ago. The current market reflects skepticism about Meta hittiοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The market for βWill Donald Trump visit China on May 3, 2026?β currently shows a 0.4% probability for a YES outcome. The pricing has remained stable over the past 24 hours, wit...
