Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Iran war disrupts oil exports, US manufacturing costs surge

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” market is examining the likelihood of rate cuts, currently showing uncertainty due to inflation pressures. Meanwhile, the “Bitcoin Ab...

Russia proposes ceasefire as symbolic gesture, Ukraine skeptical

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 11.5% YES, up from 10% 24 hours ago. The market reflects a modest increase in the likelihood of a ceasefire, wi�...

Manufacturing ISM report shows price surge, employment drop amid Fed rate cut talk

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” market currently lacks definitive pricing data. “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?” is...

MoonPay launches MoonAgents Card to let AI agents spend stablecoins through Mastercard

Crypto May 2, 2026

MoonPays MoonAgents Card will let users and AI agents spend stablecoins from onchain balances through a virtual Mastercard debit card. MoonPay announced the upcoming launch of MoonAgents Card, a virt�...

Muted shipping through Strait of Hormuz amid stalled US-Iran talks

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?” is currently priced at 40.5% YES, down from...

Bitcoin closes above 21-week trend line amid geopolitical tensions

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s recent close above its 21-week moving average is drawing attention in prediction markets. The market for Bitcoin reaching $79,000 on April 30 is currently priced at 0.1...

US-Iran tensions drive oil prices above $110, impacting Fed rate cut odds

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the market for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions for June and July 2026, the current price for a 25 basis point cut after the June meeting remains at 2.9% YES, dow...

Pentagon expands AI contracts with Nvidia, ends Anthropic deal

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for whether NVIDIA will be the largest company by market cap on April 30 is priced at 99.9% YES. Meanwhile, the market on Anthropic providing Mythos to the US governmen�...

Pentagon expands AI use with Nvidia, boosting market cap prospects

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?” is priced at 99.9% YES, consistent over the past week. By contrast, “Will NVIDIA be the largest co...

Ukraine to escalate drone attacks amid ongoing conflict with Russia

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026” market, the probability of a ceasefire is currently priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago and down from 1% a wee...