Articles by Estefano Gomez
SK Hynix reported a five-fold jump in quarterly profits driven by AI-related demand, and the Polymarket contract on whether NVIDIA will be the largest company by market cap on June 30 sits at 90.5%
οΏ½...
The Pentagon has dismissed Navy Secretary John Phelan as part of a leadership purge during the US-Iran conflict. Trumpβs end of military operations against Iran by March 1 sits at 0% YES, signaling ...
A senior Hezbollah lawmaker has called direct negotiations with Israel a βmajor mistake,β adding to internal divisions. The Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026 market sits at 100%
...
Russia is suggesting OPEC+ take action on the Strait of Hormuz blockade while continuing its own oil exports. The Polymarket contract for WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April sits at 0.8%
YES, steadοΏ½...
Japanβs Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama is stepping up coordination with major financial institutions to stabilize the Japanese Government Bonds (JGB) market. The Polymarket contract for the Bank ...
Tesla confirmed its acquisition of an AI hardware company for up to $2 billion in stock. The market on NVIDIA being the largest company by market cap on April 30 sits at 99.4%
YES.
## Market reactοΏ½...
Iranβs declaration that the US blockade is an βact of warβ has moved prediction markets. The odds of Trump announcing the lifting of the Strait of Hormuz blockade by May 31 have dropped to 73.5%...
Bitcoin exchange reserves have dropped to 2.679 million BTC, the lowest since December 2017. The odds of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April sit at 33.5%
, down from 44% yesterday.
Market reaction
TοΏ½...
Bitcoin slipped under $75,500 as U.S.Iran tensions escalated, pushing the odds of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April down to 33.5%
YES from 44% yesterday.
Market reaction
The market for Bitcoin reοΏ½...
Time magazine published an analysis of Iranβs shift toward a military-security decision-making structure. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 are at 8%
YES, up from 6% yesterday.
Th...
