Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
The βRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?β market currently shows a 6% chance of a ceasefire, unchanged from 24 hours ago but up from 5% a week ago. The βRussia x Ukra...
## Market Snapshot
In the βRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026β market, YES shares are priced at 9.5%, down from 10% 24 hours ago. The βRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026β mar...
## Market Snapshot
Bitcoin Price Targets markets currently show a 0.1% YES probability for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April. This is down from 3% 24 hours ago and 58% a week ago. The market appearsοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
US-Iran Ceasefire market shows 0.1% YES, down from 1% a day ago. Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market is trending negatively in anticipated likelihood.
## Key Takeaways
β Ira...
## Market Snapshot
In the βIsrael Withdraws from Lebanonβ market, the probability of Israel withdrawing by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9% YES, down from 10% a day ago. The May 31, 2026,...
## Market Snapshot
In the βUS Invasion of Iranβ market, the current pricing suggests decreasing likelihood of a US invasion of Iran before 2027. The withdrawal of US troops from Germany appears t...
## Market Snapshot
Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market currently shows 100% YES pricing for the question βWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?β. This reflects unchanged senti...
## Market Snapshot
The βWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?β market shows a current YES pricing at 0.1%, down from 3% 24 hours ago, and 58% seven days ago. The βWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in A...
## Market Snapshot
In the βTrumpβs Iranian Demands in Aprilβ market, the likelihood of a YES outcome has decreased, with recent pricing suggesting resistance to Iranian demands. The βUS Decla...
## Market Snapshot
The market for βWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?β is currently priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8% a week ago. The April 30, 2026, sub-market remai...
