Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic by May: Currently priced at 6.2% YES, up from 2% 24 hours ago. This suggests an increase in optimism regarding the strait’s traffic normalization by May 1...

Strategy reports $12.5B net loss, impacting Bitcoin sentiment for May 2026

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price predictions for May 2026 currently indicate a likelihood of decreases, with the market pricing consistent with a negative outlook. Recent developments are suggestiveοΏ½...

Hezbollah’s unjammable drones escalate Israel-Lebanon tensions, impact withdrawal odds

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot The β€œIsrael withdraws from Lebanon” market sees a decrease in YES pricing, with current odds at 6.5% for June 30, 2026, down from 8% a day ago. The β€œIran military action agai...

VP Vance campaigns in Iowa as GOP fears grow for 2026 midterms

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot The β€œBalance of Power in 2026 Midterms” market is currently focused on the potential for Democratic control of both the Senate and the House. Pricing has seen a consistent tren...

Explosions reported in Iran’s Hormozgan province amid US-Iran tensions

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot β€œIran closes its airspace by May 8?” is priced at 6.5% YES, down from 26% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, β€œIran closes its airspace by May 31?” stands at 36.5% YES, down from 52%....

US-Iran deal hopes boost Bitcoin sentiment, oil market cautious

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin markets for May 6 and May 7 are currently priced at 99.9% YES for Bitcoin being above $66,000. WTI Crude Oil markets suggest a potential decrease in the likelihood of hittοΏ½...

Iran introduces permit system for Strait of Hormuz vessel transit amid tensions

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for β€œWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” is currently priced at 61% YES, up from 56% in the past 24 hours. The market for β€œStrait of ...

Trump pauses Project Freedom amid Hormuz blockade negotiations

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 31.5% for a YES outcome by May 31, up from 27% a day ago but down from 57% a week ago. The Strait of Hormuz Tra...

US military escorts US ships through Strait of Hormuz amid tensions

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for the Strait of Hormuz ship transit is currently priced at 73% YES, up from 55% 24 hours ago. This reflects an increase in the likelihood of 20 ships transiting the sοΏ½...

API reports significant crude draw amid Hormuz tensions, oil eyes $90 by June

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market shows a 100% YES pricing for oil hitting $90 by the end of June. The market appears to be responding to recent API reports of significantοΏ½...