Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Bitcoin rally driven by spot demand, ETF inflows: Coinbase Institutional

Crypto April 25, 2026

Coinbase Institutional has identified spot demand and ETF inflows as the main drivers of Bitcoin’s recent surge. Bitcoin above $68,000 on April 24 is at 99.9% YES. The report says Bitcoin’s ral...

Bank of Russia cuts interest rate amid easing inflation pressures

Crypto April 25, 2026

Russia’s Central Bank reduced its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 14.5% in its April decision. The Polymarket question on whether the Bank of Russia would decrease the rate resolved at 100% ...

Israel escalates operations in southern Lebanon amid diplomatic tensions

Crypto April 25, 2026

Israel’s operations in southern Lebanon have raised tensions and complicated diplomatic efforts. The market on Netanyahu leaving office by June 30 sits at 6% YES. Market reaction The destruction...

Kevin Warsh’s Fed chair nomination signals hawkish stance on inflation

Crypto April 25, 2026

Kevin Warsh, nominated as Federal Reserve Chair, is calling for improved inflation metrics. The market for no change in the federal funds rate after the July 2026 FOMC meeting trades at 83.5% YES, οΏ½...

Trump calls Candace Owens β€œextremely low IQ,” traders eye Carlson insult

Crypto April 25, 2026

President Trump has escalated his feud with Candace Owens by calling her an β€œextremely low IQ individual.” The market for Trump publicly insulting Tucker Carlson by April 30 sits at 100% YES. T...

Trump’s confrontational Iran stance dims April 2026 peace deal prospects

Crypto April 25, 2026

President Trump is reaffirming a confrontational approach to Iran’s nuclear capabilities, and the probability of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026 has dropped sharply. The market sits...

Nvidia reclaims $5T market cap amid US-China AI chip talks

Crypto April 25, 2026

Nvidia’s stock hit $210, reclaiming the $5 trillion market cap. The market on whether it will be the largest company by market cap on April 30 is at 99.6% YES. Market reaction The move comes as ...

Trump administration reclassifies FDA-approved marijuana to Schedule III

Crypto April 25, 2026

The Trump administration has reclassified FDA-approved marijuana products to Schedule III, recognizing their medical use and lower abuse potential. The market for marijuana being rescheduled by DecemοΏ½...

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifts focus to economic pressure

Crypto April 25, 2026

Trump extended the US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifting focus to economic pressure. The likelihood of the ceasefire ending soon now sits at ? YES. Market reaction The removal of a fixed deadlοΏ½...

US-Iran talks stall, impacting Polymarket contracts on oil and uranium

Crypto April 25, 2026

Stalled US-Iran negotiations are driving movement across several Polymarket contracts. Crude oil hitting an all-time high by April 30 sits at 2% YES, down from 3% a week ago. The breakdown in talkοΏ½...