Articles by Estefano Gomez
Coinbase Institutional has identified spot demand and ETF inflows as the main drivers of Bitcoinβs recent surge. Bitcoin above $68,000 on April 24 is at 99.9%
YES.
The report says Bitcoinβs ral...
Russiaβs Central Bank reduced its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 14.5% in its April decision. The Polymarket question on whether the Bank of Russia would decrease the rate resolved at 100% ...
Israelβs operations in southern Lebanon have raised tensions and complicated diplomatic efforts. The market on Netanyahu leaving office by June 30 sits at 6%
YES.
Market reaction
The destruction...
Kevin Warsh, nominated as Federal Reserve Chair, is calling for improved inflation metrics. The market for no change in the federal funds rate after the July 2026 FOMC meeting trades at 83.5%
YES, οΏ½...
President Trump has escalated his feud with Candace Owens by calling her an βextremely low IQ individual.β The market for Trump publicly insulting Tucker Carlson by April 30 sits at 100%
YES.
T...
President Trump is reaffirming a confrontational approach to Iranβs nuclear capabilities, and the probability of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026 has dropped sharply. The market sits...
Nvidiaβs stock hit $210, reclaiming the $5 trillion market cap. The market on whether it will be the largest company by market cap on April 30 is at 99.6%
YES.
Market reaction
The move comes as ...
The Trump administration has reclassified FDA-approved marijuana products to Schedule III, recognizing their medical use and lower abuse potential. The market for marijuana being rescheduled by DecemοΏ½...
Trump extended the US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifting focus to economic pressure. The likelihood of the ceasefire ending soon now sits at ?
YES.
Market reaction
The removal of a fixed deadlοΏ½...
Stalled US-Iran negotiations are driving movement across several Polymarket contracts. Crude oil hitting an all-time high by April 30 sits at 2%
YES, down from 3% a week ago.
The breakdown in talkοΏ½...
