Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
Iran leadership change market is currently priced at 35.5% YES by December 31, down from 40% a day ago. The US-Iran ceasefire market shows a 0.1% YES for an announcement by April οΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market currently anticipates reduced likelihood of an imminent meeting, reflecting increased tensions. Meanwhile, the US Invasion of Iran market οΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The βStarmer out by June 30, 2026β market is currently priced at 40.5% YES, down from 45% 24 hours ago. The βStarmer out by December 31, 2026β market stands at 65.5% YES, s...
## Market Snapshot
Bitcoinβs May 1 market, assessing prices above $68,000, is currently priced at 99.9% YES. The May 2 market shows similar pricing at 99.9% YES. Both markets have experienced a sli...
## Market Snapshot
The βTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?β market is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% yesterday and 6% a week ago. The βUS declara...
## Market Snapshot
The market for WTI Crude Oil prices in May 2026 is currently observing a trend consistent with a potential decrease in prices. The Strait of Hormuz traffic market is seeing increaοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The βUS Invasion of Iranβ market is currently pricing at a reduced likelihood of a YES outcome, reflecting de-escalation trends. The βStrait of Hormuz Traffic NormalizationοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The βFed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026β market is examining the likelihood of rate cuts, currently showing uncertainty due to inflation pressures. Meanwhile, the βBitcoin Ab...
## Market Snapshot
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 11.5% YES, up from 10% 24 hours ago. The market reflects a modest increase in the likelihood of a ceasefire, wiοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The βWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?β market currently lacks definitive pricing data. βWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?β is...
