Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market shows a 100% YES pricing for hitting a high of $90 by the end of June. Current market pricing suggests a consistent view that geopoliticοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The market assessing whether Israel will withdraw from Lebanon by May 31, 2026, currently prices a YES outcome at 2.4%. This represents a decline from 3% the previous day and 4% aοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
In the βWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 2?β market, the current pricing reflects a 0.1% YES. This unchanged pricing highlights skepticism about Bitcoin reaching the target, c...
## Market Snapshot
In the βIran closes its airspace by May 8β market, the current pricing is at 14.5%
for a YES outcome, down from 24% a day ago. For the May 31 sub-market, YES is priced at 39....
## Market Snapshot
The Polymarket question on whether Donald Trump will announce the lifting of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 27.5% YES. This reflecοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The market on Iranβs leadership status by the end of 2026 currently remains uncertain, with multiple sub-markets active. The market assessing whether Iran will close its airspace...
## Market Snapshot
The βIran closes its airspace by May 8β market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, down from 24% in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the βIran closes its airspace by May 31β mar...
## Market Snapshot
Iran Airspace Closure market shows a current price of 16.5% YES for May 8, down from 24% a day ago, and 39% YES for May 31, up from 38%. The WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 markeοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot The market for βWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?β is currently assessing a decreased likelihood, with the recent news suggesting a shift in military focus. The βUS Decla...
## Market Snapshot
In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire markets, a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, is considered unlikely, with activity reflecting a low probability. The June 30, 2026, ceasefire market shoοΏ½...
