Articles by Estefano Gomez
Iranβs Foreign Ministry said no meeting with the US is planned. The April 24 US-Iran diplomatic meeting market dropped to 0%
YES, down from 1% a day ago.
The denial moved other dates too. The Apr...
Donald Trump criticized the Supreme Courtβs tariff ruling, and his potential visit to China by May 31 dropped to 73.5%
YES, down from 76% yesterday.
The Supreme Court invalidated tariffs imposed ...
The Trump administration has ended its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, removing a key obstacle for Kevin Warshβs confirmation. Warshβs confirmation by May 15 now sits at 82...
Aave DAO is considering a 25,000 ETH contribution to help restore rsETH backing after the Kelp bridge incident, with DeFi Uniteds recovery stack now appearing to fill the shortfall. Aave DAO service οΏ½...
Global AI investment is projected to hit $5.2 trillion by 2030, concentrated in data centers. The best Chinese AI company by April 2026 market has moved in response, with odds for Alibaba increasing οΏ½...
Iranβs Foreign Minister and US representatives are converging in Islamabad, with Pakistan acting as mediator. The market for a Trump-Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30 sits at 2%
YES.
Market rea...
Netanyahu revealed he underwent radiation therapy for early-stage prostate cancer. The market on Netanyahu out by June 30 sits at 5.5%
YES.
Netanyahu concealed the treatment while Israel was engagοΏ½...
Coinbase Institutional has identified spot demand and ETF inflows as the main drivers of Bitcoinβs recent surge. Bitcoin above $68,000 on April 24 is at 99.9%
YES.
The report says Bitcoinβs ral...
Russiaβs Central Bank reduced its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 14.5% in its April decision. The Polymarket question on whether the Bank of Russia would decrease the rate resolved at 100% ...
Israelβs operations in southern Lebanon have raised tensions and complicated diplomatic efforts. The market on Netanyahu leaving office by June 30 sits at 6%
YES.
Market reaction
The destruction...
