Articles by Estefano Gomez
The Ethereum Foundation is unstaking $48.9 million worth of ETH, raising questions about potential selling pressure. The Ethereum Price in 2026 market sits at 4%
YES, unchanged from a week ago, sug�...
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi’s diplomatic tour to Pakistan, Oman, and Russia signals Tehran’s preference for regional alliances over direct engagement with Washington. The likelihood of...
Iran’s Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi is heading back to Pakistan before a diplomatic stop in Moscow. The market for whether no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting occurs by June 30, 2026, ...
Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar suggests the nuclear option is now a real consideration as conventional tactics fail to sway Iran. The odds of no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting by June 30 sit at 13.5�...
Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian told Pakistan’s PM Shehbaz Sharif that Tehran will not negotiate with the US under pressure. The market for Iran agreeing to surrender its enriched uranium stock...
Trump’s cancellation of his envoys’ trip to Iran and Tehran’s refusal to negotiate under threat have frozen diplomatic progress. The market for a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30 has col...
Tehran-Washington talks have stalled, casting doubt on Iran ending uranium enrichment by April 30. The odds for this market have dropped to 1.8%
YES, down from 50% a week ago.
Market reaction
The�...
US crude exports have reached a record 5.2 million barrels per day during the ongoing Iran conflict. The US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 market sits at 2.6%
YES, down from 7% yesterday, while the �...
Lebanon’s PM Nawaf Salam criticized security forces for focusing on minor issues instead of Hezbollah disarmament. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026 market sits at 100%
YES, unchange...
The Sultan of Oman met with Iran’s Foreign Minister to discuss regional developments and mediation efforts. The odds of Iran surrendering its enriched uranium stockpile by April 30 sit at 1.9%
YES...
